Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)

  This paper aims to provide complementary, reliable and replicable data about the count of victims caused by the guerrillas of the North Caucasus, to explain their current weakness. The methodology used is the content analysis of all the publications made between 2010 and 2019 in its offic...

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Autor principal: Tarín-Sanz, Adrián
Formato: Revistas
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: FLACSO - Sede Ecuador 2022
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/5233
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author Tarín-Sanz, Adrián
author_facet Tarín-Sanz, Adrián
author_sort Tarín-Sanz, Adrián
collection Revista
description   This paper aims to provide complementary, reliable and replicable data about the count of victims caused by the guerrillas of the North Caucasus, to explain their current weakness. The methodology used is the content analysis of all the publications made between 2010 and 2019 in its official propaganda organ, Kavkaz Center. This is complemented with a historical context analysis. It is concluded that there is a general coincidence in the increase and decrease of both variables –propaganda production and victims caused– over time. Therefore, the scrutiny of the guerrillas' propaganda helps to know their vigor with greater certainty than if we only take into account the number of attacks perpetrated. Replicating the analysis in other contexts would allow knowing if a rule can be established in this regard.  
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spelling urvio-article-52332022-10-03T15:40:53Z Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019) La propaganda como termómetro de la lucha armada: el caso del Emirato del Cáucaso (2010-2019) A propaganda como indicador da luta armada: o caso do Emirado do Cáucaso (2010-2019) Tarín-Sanz, Adrián extremism Russia terrorism violence war propaganda extremismo propaganda de guerra Rusia terrorismo violencia   This paper aims to provide complementary, reliable and replicable data about the count of victims caused by the guerrillas of the North Caucasus, to explain their current weakness. The methodology used is the content analysis of all the publications made between 2010 and 2019 in its official propaganda organ, Kavkaz Center. This is complemented with a historical context analysis. It is concluded that there is a general coincidence in the increase and decrease of both variables –propaganda production and victims caused– over time. Therefore, the scrutiny of the guerrillas' propaganda helps to know their vigor with greater certainty than if we only take into account the number of attacks perpetrated. Replicating the analysis in other contexts would allow knowing if a rule can be established in this regard.   Este artículo tiene como objetivo aportar datos complementarios, fiables y replicables sobre el conteo de víctimas provocadas por las guerrillas del Cáucaso norte, para explicar su actual debilidad. La metodología empleada es el análisis de contenido de todas las publicaciones realizadas entre 2010 y 2019 en su órgano oficial de propaganda, Kavkaz Center. Esto se complementa con un análisis del contexto histórico. Se concluye que existe una coincidencia general en el aumento y la disminución de las variables producción propagandística y víctimas causadas a lo largo del tiempo. Por tanto, el escrutinio de la propaganda de las guerrillas ayuda a conocer su vigor con mayor certidumbre que si solo se tiene en cuenta el número de ataques perpetrados. Replicar el análisis en otros contextos permitiría conocer si puede establecerse una norma en ese sentido.   Este artigo tem como objetivo fornecer dados complementares, confiáveis ??e replicáveis ??para a contagem de vítimas causadas pelas guerrilhas do Cáucaso do Norte, para explicar, com maior precisão, sua fragilidade atual. Para obter essas informações, analisamos o conteúdo de seu órgão oficial de propaganda, o Kavkaz Center. A metodologia utilizada é a análise de conteúdo de todas as publicações realizadas entre 2010 e 2019. Esta análise também se completa com um contexto histórico. Por fim, concluímos que há uma tendência geral de aumento e diminuição de ambas as variáveis ??–produção de propaganda e vítimas causadas– ao longo do tempo; ou seja, eles coincidem. Afirmamos, então, que o escrutínio da propaganda guerrilheira nos ajuda a conhecer seu vigor com maior certeza do que se levarmos em conta, isoladamente, o número de ataques perpetrados. Também entendemos que replicar a análise em outros contextos nos permitiria saber se uma regra geral pode ser estabelecida a esse respeito. FLACSO - Sede Ecuador 2022-05-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf text/html text/html https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/5233 10.17141/urvio.33.2022.5233 URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; No. 33 (2022): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (mayo-agosto); 68-86 URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; Núm. 33 (2022): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (mayo-agosto); 68-86 1390-4299 1390-3691 10.17141/urvio.33.2022 spa https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/5233/4126 https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/5233/4116 https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/5233/4117 Derechos de autor 2022 Adrián Tarín Sanz
spellingShingle Tarín-Sanz, Adrián
Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)
title Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)
title_full Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)
title_fullStr Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)
title_full_unstemmed Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)
title_short Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019)
title_sort propaganda as a gauge of armed conflict: the case of the caucasus emirate in russia (2010-2019)
url https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/5233