Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector
This study analyzes there lative importance of the factors that influence the decision to produce for foreign markets in the Chilean agricultural sector. Using data obtained from personal interviews with 368 farmers, the market/production decision was estimated using a multinomial logit model. Three...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Artículo |
Lenguaje: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias
2013
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | http://bdigital.uncu.edu.ar/5024 |
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author | Echeverría, Rodrigo Moreira, Víctor |
author_facet | Echeverría, Rodrigo Moreira, Víctor |
author_sort | Echeverría, Rodrigo |
collection | Repositorio |
description | This study analyzes there lative
importance of the factors that influence the
decision to produce for foreign markets
in the Chilean agricultural sector. Using
data obtained from personal interviews with
368 farmers, the market/production decision
was estimated using a multinomial logit model.
Three market/production alternatives were
analyzed: production aimed for the external
market, production for the internal market
but with expectations of being exported, and
production targeted only for the internal market.
Marginal effects, odds ratios and predicted
probabilities were used to identify the relevance
of each variable. The results showed that a
producer that is male, with a higher educational
level, that does not own the land, but rents it,
whose farm has irrigation and is located in an
area that has a high concentration of exporting
producers, will have a high probability of
producing exportables. However, the factor that
has the highest impact on producing for the
external market is the geographic concentration
of exporting producers, that is, an export
spillover effect. Indeed, when the concentration
change from 0 to its maximum (0.26), the odds
of producing exportables rather than producing
traditional products increases by a factor of 70
(against a factor of 10 in the case of irrigation). |
format | Artículo |
id | uncu-5024 |
institution | Biblioteca Digital - UNCUYO |
language | Inglés |
publishDate | 2013 |
publisher | Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias
|
record_format | ojs |
spelling | uncu-50242013-08-02T11:54:04Z Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector Factores que influyen en la decisión de producir exportables en el sector agrícola chileno Echeverría, Rodrigo Moreira, Víctor Chile Exportaciones Mercados Investigación de mercados Exports Exportaciones agrícolas Decisión de exportar Modelo logístico multinominal Agricultural exports Market-production decision Export decision Multinomial logit model Export spillovers Sector agrícola chileno This study analyzes there lative importance of the factors that influence the decision to produce for foreign markets in the Chilean agricultural sector. Using data obtained from personal interviews with 368 farmers, the market/production decision was estimated using a multinomial logit model. Three market/production alternatives were analyzed: production aimed for the external market, production for the internal market but with expectations of being exported, and production targeted only for the internal market. Marginal effects, odds ratios and predicted probabilities were used to identify the relevance of each variable. The results showed that a producer that is male, with a higher educational level, that does not own the land, but rents it, whose farm has irrigation and is located in an area that has a high concentration of exporting producers, will have a high probability of producing exportables. However, the factor that has the highest impact on producing for the external market is the geographic concentration of exporting producers, that is, an export spillover effect. Indeed, when the concentration change from 0 to its maximum (0.26), the odds of producing exportables rather than producing traditional products increases by a factor of 70 (against a factor of 10 in the case of irrigation). Este estudio analiza la importancia relativa de los factores que influyen en la decisión de producir para el mercado externo en el sector agrícola chileno. Utilizando datos obtenidos de entrevistas personales aplicadas a 368 agricultores, la decisión de producir para el mercado externo fue estimada con un modelo logístico multinomial. Tres alternativas de producción/mercado fueron analizadas: producción para el mercado externo, producción para el mercado interno pero con expectativas de llegar a exportar y producción enfocada solo al mercado interno. Efectos marginales, razones de posibilidades y probabilidades predichas fueron utilizadas para identificar la relevancia de cada variable. Los resultados muestran que un productor hombre, con un alto nivel educacional, que arrienda la tierra, y cuyo predio tiene riego y está localizado en una zona con una alta concentración de productores de exportables, tendrá altas probabilidades de producir para el mercado externo. Sin embargo, el factor que tiene el mayor impacto en la decisión de producir exportables es la concentración geográfica de los productores de exportables, es decir, hay un fuerte efecto de la difusión de la actividad exportadora. Por cierto, cuando esta concentración cambia de 0 a su valor máximo (0,26), las posibilidades de producir exportables en vez de producir tradicionales aumenta en un factor de 70 (contra un factor de 10 para el caso del riego). Fil: Echeverría, Rodrigo. Universidad Austral de Chile. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias. Instituto de Economía Agraria Fil: Moreira, Víctor. Universidad Austral de Chile. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias. Instituto de Economía Agraria Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias 78 Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias Vol. 45, no. 1 Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Vol. 45, no. 1 2013-06-03 eng Inglés http://bdigital.uncu.edu.ar/4945 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/ article info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias http://bdigital.uncu.edu.ar/5024 |
spellingShingle | Chile Exportaciones Mercados Investigación de mercados Exports Exportaciones agrícolas Decisión de exportar Modelo logístico multinominal Agricultural exports Market-production decision Export decision Multinomial logit model Export spillovers Sector agrícola chileno Echeverría, Rodrigo Moreira, Víctor Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector |
title | Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector
|
title_full | Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector
|
title_fullStr | Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector
|
title_full_unstemmed | Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector
|
title_short | Factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the Chilean agricultural sector
|
title_sort | factors that influence the decision to produce exportables in the chilean agricultural sector |
topic | Chile Exportaciones Mercados Investigación de mercados Exports Exportaciones agrícolas Decisión de exportar Modelo logístico multinominal Agricultural exports Market-production decision Export decision Multinomial logit model Export spillovers Sector agrícola chileno |
url | http://bdigital.uncu.edu.ar/5024 |