| Sumario: | The Spanish road safety strategy for 2011-2020 proposes a 35% reduction in the
number of severe injuries in 2011-2020. In this context, this article analyses provincial
traffic accident rates in Spain by type of road and applies a nonlinear distribution
methodology to dynamic severe injuries reduction targets for 2011-2020 for the
purpose of setting accident rate targets in each of the Spanish provinces. Targets were
weighted considering 2010 as the base year. This resulted in proposals for reducing the
number of severe injuries in each province by type of road as a function of the starting
situation of the indicators used in the study. In general, higher reduction must be made
on highway and other type of roads (including city streets), and provinces with low
population density (rural areas) such as Avila, Cuenca and Soria. The results found seek
to provide policymakers with a more local view for achieving the overall Spanish traffic
safety policy target, mainly for rural areas.
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