The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America

This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorinas running tally approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who...

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Autores principales: Benjamín Temkin Yedwab, Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas
Formato: artículo científico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Universidad de Los Andes 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=81257495001
http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/95368
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author Benjamín Temkin Yedwab
Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas
author_facet Benjamín Temkin Yedwab
Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas
author_sort Benjamín Temkin Yedwab
collection Repositorio
description This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorinas running tally approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the principal-agent model.
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spelling clacso-CLACSO953682022-03-22T18:52:50Z The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America Benjamín Temkin Yedwab Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas Política Latin America Partisan independence Partisan identification running tally approach Fiorina government performance institutional trust principal-agent model This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorinas running tally approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the principal-agent model. 2018 2022-03-22T18:52:50Z 2022-03-22T18:52:50Z artículo científico http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=81257495001 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/95368 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=812 Colombia Internacional application/pdf Universidad de Los Andes Colombia Internacional (Colombia) Num.96
spellingShingle Política
Latin America
Partisan independence
Partisan identification
running tally approach
Fiorina
government performance
institutional trust
principal-agent model
Benjamín Temkin Yedwab
Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas
The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
title The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
title_full The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
title_fullStr The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
title_full_unstemmed The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
title_short The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
title_sort road to partisan independence: an extension and empirical test of the running tally approach in latin america
topic Política
Latin America
Partisan independence
Partisan identification
running tally approach
Fiorina
government performance
institutional trust
principal-agent model
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=81257495001
http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/95368