The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America
This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorinas running tally approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who...
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Formato: | artículo científico |
Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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Universidad de Los Andes
2018
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Acceso en línea: | http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=81257495001 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/95368 |
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author | Benjamín Temkin Yedwab Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas |
author_facet | Benjamín Temkin Yedwab Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas |
author_sort | Benjamín Temkin Yedwab |
collection | Repositorio |
description | This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorinas running tally approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the principal-agent model. |
format | artículo científico |
id | clacso-CLACSO95368 |
institution | CLACSO, Repositorio Digital |
language | Inglés |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | Universidad de Los Andes |
record_format | greenstone |
spelling | clacso-CLACSO953682022-03-22T18:52:50Z The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America Benjamín Temkin Yedwab Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas Política Latin America Partisan independence Partisan identification running tally approach Fiorina government performance institutional trust principal-agent model This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorinas running tally approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the principal-agent model. 2018 2022-03-22T18:52:50Z 2022-03-22T18:52:50Z artículo científico http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=81257495001 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/95368 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=812 Colombia Internacional application/pdf Universidad de Los Andes Colombia Internacional (Colombia) Num.96 |
spellingShingle | Política Latin America Partisan independence Partisan identification running tally approach Fiorina government performance institutional trust principal-agent model Benjamín Temkin Yedwab Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America |
title | The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America |
title_full | The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America |
title_fullStr | The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America |
title_full_unstemmed | The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America |
title_short | The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the Running Tally Approach in Latin America |
title_sort | road to partisan independence: an extension and empirical test of the running tally approach in latin america |
topic | Política Latin America Partisan independence Partisan identification running tally approach Fiorina government performance institutional trust principal-agent model |
url | http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=81257495001 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/95368 |