Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition

Argentina is going through a process of demographic transition that will resultin an older population structure. The demographic transition has direct effectson the quantity and adequacy of social protection transfers, with particularemphasis on those related to pensions. The main objective of this...

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Autores principales: Rofman, Rafael, Apella, Ignacio
Formato: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Lenguaje:Español
Inglés
Publicado: Universidad del Pacífico 2016
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/753
http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/53084
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author Rofman, Rafael
Apella, Ignacio
author_facet Rofman, Rafael
Apella, Ignacio
author_sort Rofman, Rafael
collection Repositorio
description Argentina is going through a process of demographic transition that will resultin an older population structure. The demographic transition has direct effectson the quantity and adequacy of social protection transfers, with particularemphasis on those related to pensions. The main objective of this paper is toidentify the potential trends of social protection expenditures in an agingcontext. On the basis of the expenditure profile by age, we apply NationalTransfer Accounts methodology to simulate social protection expenditures until2100. The results suggest that, under various alternative social security coveragescenarios, the demographic transition process would lead to an increase infuture social protection expenditures, reaching 16% of gross domestic product(GDP) by 2050 and exceeding 24% in 2100.
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spelling clacso-CLACSO530842022-03-17T18:48:15Z Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition La protección social en Argentina en un contexto de transición demográfica Rofman, Rafael Apella, Ignacio Argentina is going through a process of demographic transition that will resultin an older population structure. The demographic transition has direct effectson the quantity and adequacy of social protection transfers, with particularemphasis on those related to pensions. The main objective of this paper is toidentify the potential trends of social protection expenditures in an agingcontext. On the basis of the expenditure profile by age, we apply NationalTransfer Accounts methodology to simulate social protection expenditures until2100. The results suggest that, under various alternative social security coveragescenarios, the demographic transition process would lead to an increase infuture social protection expenditures, reaching 16% of gross domestic product(GDP) by 2050 and exceeding 24% in 2100. Argentina se encuentra inmersa en un proceso de transición demográficahacia una estructura poblacional de mayor edad. Esto tiene efectos sobre lacantidad y suficiencia de las transferencias realizadas a través del sistemade protección social. A partir del perfil de erogaciones por edad, siguiendola metodología provista por las cuentas nacionales de transferencias, sesimula la tendencia del gasto en protección social hasta el año 2100. Losresultados hallados sugieren que el gasto total del sistema de protecciónsocial tendería a aumentar hasta el 16% del PBI en 2050 y hasta cerca del24% del PBI en 2100. 2016-05-27 2022-03-17T18:48:15Z 2022-03-17T18:48:15Z info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/753 10.21678/apuntes.78.836 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/53084 spa eng https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/753/818 https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/753/819 Derechos de autor 2016 Apuntes application/pdf application/pdf Universidad del Pacífico Apuntes. Social Sciences Journal; Apuntes 78: Sistemas de Pensiones en América Latina; 89-120 Apuntes. Revista de ciencias sociales; Apuntes 78: Sistemas de Pensiones en América Latina; 89-120 2223-1757 0252-1865
spellingShingle Rofman, Rafael
Apella, Ignacio
Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition
title Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition
title_full Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition
title_fullStr Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition
title_full_unstemmed Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition
title_short Argentine Social Protection in a Context of Demographic Transition
title_sort argentine social protection in a context of demographic transition
url https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/753
http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/53084