The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985

The expectation about the future value of the exchange rate play a crucial role in the peruvian economy. However, this variable has not been studied by both peruvian economic researchers and policy markers. Because of this the present paper inteds to develop a framework of analysis in order to measu...

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Autor principal: Li Carrillo, José Espósito
Formato: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: Universidad del Pacífico 1988
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/275
http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/52606
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author Li Carrillo, José Espósito
author_facet Li Carrillo, José Espósito
author_sort Li Carrillo, José Espósito
collection Repositorio
description The expectation about the future value of the exchange rate play a crucial role in the peruvian economy. However, this variable has not been studied by both peruvian economic researchers and policy markers. Because of this the present paper inteds to develop a framework of analysis in order to measure exchange rate expectations. This puorpose is acomplished by using statistical bayesian methods.
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spelling clacso-CLACSO526062022-03-17T18:47:45Z The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985 La devaluación esperada en el Perú: 1975-1985 Li Carrillo, José Espósito The expectation about the future value of the exchange rate play a crucial role in the peruvian economy. However, this variable has not been studied by both peruvian economic researchers and policy markers. Because of this the present paper inteds to develop a framework of analysis in order to measure exchange rate expectations. This puorpose is acomplished by using statistical bayesian methods. La variable tipo de cambio y las expectativas de los agentes económicos en torno a su valor esperado, juegan hoy en día un papel decisivo para la marcha económica de nuestro país. Por ello en el presente artículo se pretende hacer una primera aproximación sobre la magnitud de las expectativas cambiarias - a través del cálculo de la devaluación esperada utilizando el método bayesiano de probabilidad condicional, como una alternativa de medición para la actual incertidumbre en materia cambiaria. 1988-12-16 2022-03-17T18:47:45Z 2022-03-17T18:47:45Z info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/275 10.21678/apuntes.23.275 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/52606 spa https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/275/277 Derechos de autor 2017 Apuntes http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 application/pdf Universidad del Pacífico Apuntes. Social Sciences Journal; Apuntes 23; 89-106 Apuntes. Revista de ciencias sociales; Apuntes 23; 89-106 2223-1757 0252-1865
spellingShingle Li Carrillo, José Espósito
The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985
title The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985
title_full The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985
title_fullStr The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985
title_full_unstemmed The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985
title_short The expected devaluation in Peru: 1975-1985
title_sort expected devaluation in peru: 1975-1985
url https://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/275
http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/52606