Biblioteca Digital de VanguardiaFundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
This article explores the relationship between macroeconomic indicators, financial markets, and voting intentions in the 1994, 1998, and 2002 Brazilian Presidential elections. Several hypotheses concerning the relationship between economic performance and politics were tested using a data set contai...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | artículo científico |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro
2006
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21849102 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/49465 |
| _version_ | 1782339658294755328 |
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| author | Lúcio Rennó Anthony P. Spanakos |
| author_facet | Lúcio Rennó Anthony P. Spanakos |
| author_sort | Lúcio Rennó |
| collection | Repositorio |
| description | This article explores the relationship between macroeconomic indicators, financial markets, and voting intentions in the 1994, 1998, and 2002 Brazilian Presidential elections. Several hypotheses concerning the relationship between economic performance and politics were tested using a data set containing aggregate measures of self-reported preferences for the Presidential candidates and economic indicators (inflation, unemployment, exchange rate, C-Bond spread, and the São Paulo Stock Exchange Index). The first hypothesis refers to the potential simultaneity between economic indicators and voting intentions. Other hypotheses relate to the varied impact of different economic indicators on the intention to vote for a specific Presidential candidate as opposed to others. The results indicate that retrospective voting, based on the performance of economic fundamentals and not the financial market, predominates in Brazil. |
| format | artículo científico |
| id | clacso-CLACSO49465 |
| institution | CLACSO, Repositorio Digital |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2006 |
| publisher | Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro |
| record_format | greenstone |
| spelling | clacso-CLACSO494652022-03-17T17:58:35Z Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 Lúcio Rennó Anthony P. Spanakos Sociología Presidential elections economic indicators election preferences This article explores the relationship between macroeconomic indicators, financial markets, and voting intentions in the 1994, 1998, and 2002 Brazilian Presidential elections. Several hypotheses concerning the relationship between economic performance and politics were tested using a data set containing aggregate measures of self-reported preferences for the Presidential candidates and economic indicators (inflation, unemployment, exchange rate, C-Bond spread, and the São Paulo Stock Exchange Index). The first hypothesis refers to the potential simultaneity between economic indicators and voting intentions. Other hypotheses relate to the varied impact of different economic indicators on the intention to vote for a specific Presidential candidate as opposed to others. The results indicate that retrospective voting, based on the performance of economic fundamentals and not the financial market, predominates in Brazil. 2006 2022-03-17T17:58:35Z 2022-03-17T17:58:35Z artículo científico http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21849102 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/49465 en http://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=218 Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais application/pdf Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais (Brasil) Num.1 Vol.49 |
| spellingShingle | Sociología Presidential elections economic indicators election preferences Lúcio Rennó Anthony P. Spanakos Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| title | Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| title_full | Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| title_fullStr | Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| title_short | Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| title_sort | fundamentos da economia, mercado financeiro e intenção de voto: as eleições presidenciais brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002 |
| topic | Sociología Presidential elections economic indicators election preferences |
| url | http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21849102 http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/49465 |